Every language has the same chance to grow up and become dominating language in the world and also can be dead because of lost of users. Economic, politics, partnership, and culture have important role to decide which language will dominate in globalization era. For example the growing of Muslim population supports the growing of Arabic language; the growing of China in economic and influence triggers people to learn Chinese; Spanish mostly spoken by people in South America countries, and English continue its influence in the world because of pop culture spread, economic influence from US and UK, and growing of Information, Communication and Technology (ICT).
English as an international language
which mostly spoken in the world has its own challenge in facing globalization
era. David Crystal from British Council talks about the future of English. He
said that the future of language is that way madness lays. Who would have
predicted 1,000 years ago that Latin would no longer be used in 1,000 years time?
Obviously, Latin is still used in certain circumstances, but it would not be
the normal education to be fluent in Latin. In addition he said that if you had
said that 1,000 years ago, people would have said you were mad. So in 1,000
years time will English still be a global language? We could all be speaking
Martian by then if they land and take over. Who knows what's going to happen?
To ask about the future of language
is to really ask about the future of society, and futurologists are just as
unclear about what will happen eventually as I am about language. Because
language, you see, is global for one reason only, and that is the power of the
people who speak it. Power always drives language. There is no other reason to
speak somebody else's language other than you want to improve your quality of
life or you want to influence them in some way, or whatever it might be. I mean
the tradition in English, of course, English became global for a whole variety
of reasons. First of all, the power of the British Empire. Later, the power of
American imperialism.
Later, in the 17th century, the power
of the Industrial Revolution, which meant that the language of science and
technology became English predominantly. In the 19th century, the power of
money. Money talks, and the two most productive nations of the world were
Britain and America, both using English. So the language of international
banking became the pound and the dollar, English once again. And then in the
20th century cultural power, as you all know, because every aspect of culture
you've encountered has some sort of history in the English language.
Like pop songs, for example,
international advertising, air traffic control, the development of radio and
television, the development of the internet - 100% an English language medium
when it started, though today, only a fraction of the internet is English.
Internet has become multi-lingual. So what's going to happen next? English will
stay a global language as long as certain things happen. First of all, that the
nations that are recognized as the most powerful nations in the world continue
to use English, and all the other nations want to be like them, or want to
interact with them, or want to sell things to them, and so on.
And so English will stay like that
for as long as those nations retain that kind of power, and we're talking
mainly America here, aren't we, predominantly? On the other hand, it isn't
rocket science to think of scenarios where, for whatever reason, American power
diminishes, the power of some other nations grows, and you get other parts of the
world becoming more dominant. People say, well, what about Chinese? Well one
day maybe. At the moment, there's no sign of China wanting Chinese to be a
global language because they're all learning English in China for the most
part. But you could imagine a scenario where it was the other way around.
Read More about Education Profile in Developing Countries
You could imagine a scenario when
Spanish, Spanish is the fastest growing language in the world at the moment
population wise, because of South America and Central America, and increasingly
in North America, Spanish is becoming very widely used. You can imagine a
scenario where one day we might all end up speaking Spanish. In another
scenario, you can imagine one day we might all end up speaking Arabic for
reasons that are perfectly obvious to anybody who looks at the world. So all of
these things could happen. At the moment, there's no sign of a diminution in
the prestige of English, the desire to learn English. The figures are going up
and up and up every year.
At the moment, over 2 billion people
speak English. There's never been so many people speaking one language before,
and there's no sign of any slackening off in that progress. So the long term
future, no idea. The short term future, no change. Now what kind of English
will it be? Well, if you join the club, as it were, the English speaking club,
you will, as joining any club, you will look to the senior members, as it were,
the most established members. And you look at the statistics. You'll speak the
English that you most often encounter in the world. And that, of course, is
American English.
And so that is one scenario, that
American English will ultimately dominate all other varieties of English. And
we already see this happening in small ways, don't we? In British English, for
instance, you see the impact of American English in all sorts of ways. On
spelling, for example. Once upon a time you'd spell the word
"encyclopaedia" with and "A-E" the middle, in a traditional
British way. The American way is to spell it with an "E" in the
middle. And now in Britain, virtually everybody spells it with an "E"
in the middle. But there is a different scenario, as well, and it is this. Why
is their American English in the first place?
Because the Americans wanted to
identify themselves as American and not as British. It was a quite conscious
decision. When America became independent, Noah Webster, amongst others, said
we want an American English for an American identity for the new nation. And
that's where American spellings started, you see, and how new American vocabulary
got into dictionaries. Now what happened in America then is now happening
globally. So all over the English speaking world people are saying, well, you
can be British if you like, you can be American if you like, but we want to be
Indian, or we want to be Nigerian, or we want to be Ghanaian, or what have you.
And the English that we use will reflect that cultural identity.
Now we're not talking just a few
people here, you see. In India, nobody knows exactly how many, but there must
be at least 400 million people speaking English in India, speaking Indian
English. Not speaking British English or American English or anything like
that. And therefore, could the few English of the future be some sort of
amalgam of all sorts of English from around the world? Bits of Indian English,
bits of Australian English, bits of American English, bits of British English,
who knows, bits of Serbian English.
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